One thought on “Is New York City’s Spike in Violence a Return to the ‘Bad Old Days’?

  1. Butts: “My theory, and I’m not the only one who thinks this, is that what we’re seeing is a reflection of predominantly young men walking around with hand guns and deciding to use them, where a year ago, they may have thought twice, or they may not have been walking around with a hand gun because they were actually in school or had a job. Petty interpersonal grievances and insults are turning into bullets being fired because of the disruption to the social structure caused by the pandemic.”

    My Response: Shootings occurring in New York City within the time frame proffered (i.e., calendar year 2020) provide us with an exemplar (i.e., a probable representative sample) that illustrates the differences in local, causally-mediating socio-ecological dynamics at play, to wit:

    According to TheCrimeReport.org’s reporting (12-28-20) (thecrimereport(dot)org/2020/12/28/nyc-shooting-victims-double-in-2020-96-are-minorities/) on the Wall Street Journal’s research, the NYC Mayor’s Office of Criminal Justice said people of color accounted for most of the victims.

    Out of 1,495 shooting victims between Jan. 1 and Oct. 1, 2020, 1440, or 96 percent, compared to 29 Whites, were either Black or Hispanic. Only 8 low-income, gang-ridden neighborhoods (6 in Brooklyn and 2 in the Bronx) have the highest number of shootings recorded in the city, according to the analysis.*

    While the number of victims has increased in 2020, the racial breakdown of shooting victims follows patterns in previous years, the analysis showed. [Emphasis added.] There’s only one rational conclusion, and it’s not lead contamination in their drinking water (that’s Flint, MI’s excuse).

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    * “Gun violence has been a persistent and longstanding problem in those neighborhoods, and the eight neighborhoods accounted for the most shootings in the city in 2019 and in 1993, said the office.”

    Well, I have a much more empirically-demonstrable theory if anyone would really care to drill down into the national data samples and run some really rigorous statistical controls: –>> If the pandemic exacerbated any appreciably greater economic disadvantage for Blacks and Hispanics, said disadvantage having stemmed from the disparately-distributed effects of Covid-related changes in the dominant, legitimate, and state-sanctioned economy, then that disadvantage drove competitiveness in illicit activities through the roof (the likes of which results from the socio-ecological dynamics of black-market-spawned micro political economies); ergo, the relatively unchecked consequences of same (i.e., in terms of both direct loss and “collateral damage”, both of which are occasioned by competition-induced violence) tend to bleed all over those communities that are more sensitive to, or that are more likely to be adversely affected by such illicit competition.

    I also want to know what proportion of these shootings happened after the advent of the Minneapolis City Council-driven, George Floyd-related, defund/dismantle-the-police hysteria, which nearly spanned the globe, the knee-jerk consequences of which led to the retirements and disabled statuses of droves of police officers and their leadership across the nation. Don’t tell me that this consideration never once occurred to anyone involved in all the data gathering that went on, nationally, during that time.

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