‘No Significant Change’ in Overall Violent Crime: Study

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Violent crime against young adult males has increased, but there was no “statistically significant change” in the overall number of Americans who experienced violent crime, according to the most recent estimates from the National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS).

In a report released Wednesday by the Bureau of Justice Statistics (BJS), the rate of violent criminal victimizations against males 12 years or older increased from 15.9 per 1,000 males to 19.6 per 1,000 from 2015 to 2016.

The report, based on revised estimates of criminal victimization from the 2016 NCVS, found that  among persons ages 25 to 34, violent victimizations increased from 21.8 to 28.4 per 1,000 persons over the same period.

The BJS also noted that the number of U.S. residents age 12 or older who reported they had experienced one or more violent criminal victimizations during the prior six months increased from 2.7 million to 2.9 million, but added “there was no statistically significant difference in the rate of overall violent victimization (18.6 compared to 19.7 per 1,000 persons age 12 or older).

Moreover, although the rate of aggravated assault increased slightly nationwide for all U.S. residents, the rate of rape or sexual assault decreased from 2015 to 2016 from 1.6 to 1.1 victimizations per 1,000 persons, BJS reported.

Property crimes reported to NCVS increased over the same period, from 110.7 to 118.6 victimizations per 1,000 households, the BJS said, estimating a total number of 15.8 million incidents.

The report, “Criminal Victimization, 2016: Revised (NCJ 252121),” was written by BJS statisticians Rachel E. Morgan, Ph.D., and Grace Kena.

The report can be downloaded here.  Related documents and additional information about BJS’s statistical publications and programs can be found on the BJS website at www.bjs.gov.

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