Crime Rate Projected to Decrease Slightly from 2014


An updated analysis of crime data from the 30 largest U.S. cities shows overall crime in 2015 is projected to decrease by 5.5 percent from 2014, the Brennan Center for Justice said yesterday.

Using statistics through Dec. 23, researchers reached the same conclusion as they did in the organization's November report entitled “Crime in 2015: A Preliminary Analysis”— that overall crime numbers remained about the same in 2015 as in 2014—but found slightly different percentages.

As in the preliminary report, the murder rate shows a projected increase from 2014. According to the updated findings, the 2015 murder rate is projected to be 14.6 percent higher than in the previous year in the 30 largest U.S. cities, with 18 cities experiencing increases and 7 experiencing decreases, the report states. However, two cities—Baltimore and Washington, D.C.—account for almost 50 percent of the increase in murders. Other cities with high murder rates include Detroit, Milwaukee, New Orleans and St. Louis.

“Since murder rates vary widely from year to year, one year's increase is not evidence of a coming wave of violent crime,” write researchers directed by Inimai Chettiar. “These serious increases seem to be localized, rather than part of a national pandemic, suggesting community conditions are a major factor.”

Read the update HERE and the original report HERE.

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